We aimed to assess the impact of future climate change on fire activity in southeastern France and estimate changes in spatial and seasonal distributions.
Key results Fire activity could increase by up to +180% for +4°C of global warming, with large expansions of fire-prone regions and long seasonal lengthenings. Overall, changes will be dominated by intensification within the historical fire niche, representing two-thirds of additional future fire activity, half of this occurring during the high fire season.
Document résumé 28p.
via @Forumeteoclimat. "@WMO a publié son dernier rapport #EtatduClimat concluant également que les 8 dernières années ont été les + chaudes au monde"
En français sur le site de l'Organisation météorologique mondiale