Biodiversité

Europe in 2023 This section provides an overview of Europe in 2023, compared to the long-term trends of variables across the climate system. Spotlight sections provide a detailed look at key events during the year, and a discussion of climate policy and action with a focus on human health.

Global models of tide, storm surge, and wave setup are used to obtain projections of episodic coastal flooding over the coming century. The models are extensively validated against tide gauge data and the impact of uncertainties and assumptions on projections estimated in detail. Global “hotspots” where there is projected to be a significant change in episodic flooding by the end of the century are identified and found to be mostly concentrated in north western Europe and Asia. Results show that for the case of, no coastal protection or adaptation, and a mean RCP8.5 scenario, there will be an increase of 48% of the world’s land area, 52% of the global population and 46% of global assets at risk of flooding by 2100. A total of 68% of the global coastal area flooded will be caused by tide and storm events with 32% due to projected regional sea level rise.

Parmi les articles au sommaire :

- A catchment‐scale perspective of plastic pollution

- Four decades of functional community change reveals gradual trends and low interlinkage across trophic groups in a large marine ecosystem

- Future recovery of baleen whales is imperiled by climate change